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Grand National betting - double figure starting prices often win

Pete Culshaw - 26 Mar 2008

Due to the size and competitive nature of the John Smith’s Grand National field, a horse with a double-figure starting price often wins the race.

Red Rum (twice at 9/1), Grittar (7/1), West Tip (15/2), Rough Quest (7/1), Earth Summit (7/1) and 2005 victor Hedgehunter (7/1) are the only horses to have been returned at less than 10/1since 1968.

Only four of the last 33 favourites have won: Grittar in 1982, Rough Quest in 1996, Earth Summit in 1998 and Hedgehunter in 2005.

Papillon was backed down to be 10/1 joint second favourite when winning in 2000 and both West Tip (15/2) and Rhyme ‘N’Reason (10/1) were also second best in the betting.

There have been eight long-priced surprises in the last 29 runnings: Last Suspect at 50/1, Royal Athlete and Ben Nevis both at 40/1, Silver Birch and Red Marauder at 33/1, Maori Venture
and Little Polveir both at 28/1 and Rubstic at 25/1.

Even so, fancied horses have a fair record. Since 1968, when Red Alligator came in at 100/7, horses starting at 16/1 or under have won 29 times.

The shortest odds for winners have been Poethlyn (1919) at 11/4, Huntsman (1862) at 3/1 and Roquefort (1885) at 100/30.

The longest odds are 100/1, with four victors being returned at that price - Tipperary Tim (1928), Gregalach (1929), Caughoo (1947) and Foinavon (1967).

Three 100/1 shots have been placed since 1980 - Over The Deel in 1995, Camelot Knight in 1997 and Philson Run who was fourth last year.

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